Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays
Friday, August 28, 2026 at 7:15 PM · Rogers Centre
Main prediction
Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline
Alternative: First 5 innings winner: Toronto Blue Jays
Model confidence
69.0%
Market probability
Unavailable
Observed odds
Unavailable
Data available
56%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 8.4
- Reference line
- 8.5
- Line source
- Athletiq estimate
- First 5 projection
- 4.4
- First 5 line
- 4.5
- Weather
- Pending
- Temperature
- Pending
- Wind
- Pending
- Reference sportsbook
- Unavailable
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Toronto Blue Jays.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Seattle Mariners.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. There is not enough data to compare.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. There is not enough data to compare.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Toronto Blue Jays.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Seattle Mariners.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Toronto Blue Jays.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Offensive production
Toronto Blue Jays enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
Seattle Mariners has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Unconfirmed starter
A change in the probable starter can affect the pick and projected total.
Expected lineup
The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Availability
Received injury reports
Seattle Mariners
- • Brendan Donovan: Injured 7-Day
- • Cole Wilcox: Injured 15-Day
- • Colt Emerson: Injured 10-Day
- • Cooper Criswell: Injured 60-Day
- • Logan Evans: Injured 60-Day
Toronto Blue Jays
- • Addison Barger: Injured 60-Day
- • Anthony Santander: Injured 60-Day
- • Bowden Francis: Injured 60-Day
- • Cody Ponce: Injured 60-Day
- • Jake Bloss: Injured 60-Day
MLB lineups
Batting orders pending
This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.
Seattle Mariners
- 1Taylor WardRF
- 2Randy ArozarenaLF
- 3Julio RodríguezCF
- 4Cal RaleighDH
- 5Patrick Wisdom1B
- 6J.P. CrawfordSS
- 7Weston Wilson3B
- 8Jhonny PeredaC
- 9Brock Rodden2B
Toronto Blue Jays
- 1Charles McAdoo2B
- 2Brandon Valenzuela1B
- 3Alejandro KirkC
- 4Jesús SánchezLF
- 5Kazuma Okamoto3B
- 6Ernie ClementSS
- 7Daz CameronCF
- 8Myles StrawP
- 9Nathan LukesRF
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Recent form, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Starters, Starter statistics, Odds, Weather
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model