Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 10:05 PM · Oracle Park
Main prediction
First 5 innings winner: San Francisco Giants
Alternative: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline
Model confidence
66.0%
Market probability
Unavailable
Observed odds
Unavailable
Data available
56%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 8.2
- Reference line
- 8.5
- Line source
- Athletiq estimate
- First 5 projection
- 4.4
- First 5 line
- 4.5
- Weather
- Pending
- Temperature
- Pending
- Wind
- Pending
- Reference sportsbook
- Unavailable
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Arizona Diamondbacks.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Arizona Diamondbacks.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. There is not enough data to compare.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. There is not enough data to compare.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Arizona Diamondbacks.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Arizona Diamondbacks.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Arizona Diamondbacks.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Offensive production
Arizona Diamondbacks enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
Arizona Diamondbacks has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Unconfirmed starter
A change in the probable starter can affect the pick and projected total.
Expected lineup
The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Availability
Received injury reports
Arizona Diamondbacks
- • A.J. Puk: Injured 60-Day
- • Andrew Saalfrank: Injured 60-Day
- • Blake Walston: Injured 60-Day
- • Corbin Burnes: Injured 60-Day
- • Cristian Mena: Injured 60-Day
San Francisco Giants
- • Adrian Houser: Injured 15-Day
- • Carson Whisenhunt: Injured 60-Day
- • Casey Schmitt: Injured 10-Day
- • Daniel Susac: Injured 60-Day
- • Harrison Bader: Injured 60-Day
MLB lineups
Batting orders pending
This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.
Arizona Diamondbacks
- 1Jorge BarrosaCF
- 2Corbin CarrollRF
- 3Gabriel MorenoDH
- 4Geraldo PerdomoSS
- 5Nolan Arenado3B
- 6Tim Tawa1B
- 7James McCannC
- 8Ildemaro Vargas2B
- 9Jordan LawlarLF
San Francisco Giants
- 1Drew GilbertCF
- 2Rafael Devers1B
- 3Bryce EldridgeDH
- 4Drew CavanaughC
- 5Jung Hoo LeeRF
- 6Shay Whitcomb3B
- 7Turner HillLF
- 8Nate Furman2B
- 9Osleivis BasabeSS
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Recent form, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Starters, Starter statistics, Odds, Weather
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model