Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants
Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 3:45 PM · Oracle Park
Main prediction
First 5 innings winner: San Francisco Giants
Alternative: San Francisco Giants Moneyline
Model confidence
68.0%
Market probability
Unavailable
Observed odds
Unavailable
Data available
78%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 7.6
- Reference line
- 8.5
- Line source
- Athletiq estimate
- First 5 projection
- 4.1
- First 5 line
- 4.5
- Weather
- Pending
- Temperature
- Pending
- Wind
- Pending
- Reference sportsbook
- Unavailable
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Cincinnati Reds.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to San Francisco Giants.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to San Francisco Giants.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to San Francisco Giants.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to San Francisco Giants.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Cincinnati Reds.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to San Francisco Giants.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Starting-pitcher edge
San Francisco Giants has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (4.34).
Offensive production
San Francisco Giants enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
San Francisco Giants has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Expected lineup
The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Availability
Received injury reports
Cincinnati Reds
- • Blake Dunn: Injured 60-Day
- • Brandon Williamson: Injured 60-Day
- • Graham Ashcraft: Injured 60-Day
- • Hunter Greene: Injured 60-Day
- • Michael Toglia: Injured 10-Day
San Francisco Giants
- • Carson Whisenhunt: Injured 15-Day
- • Casey Schmitt: Injured 10-Day
- • Daniel Susac: Injured 60-Day
- • Harrison Bader: Injured 60-Day
- • Hayden Birdsong: Injured 60-Day
MLB lineups
Batting orders pending
This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.
Cincinnati Reds
- 1Elly De La CruzSS
- 2Sal Stewart1B
- 3JJ BledayLF
- 4Tyler StephensonC
- 5Eugenio SuárezDH
- 6Matt McLain2B
- 7Héctor RodríguezRF
- 8Ke'Bryan Hayes3B
- 9TJ FriedlCF
San Francisco Giants
- 1Drew GilbertCF
- 2Rafael Devers1B
- 3Jung Hoo LeeDH
- 4Buddy Kennedy3B
- 5Drew CavanaughC
- 6Jonah CoxLF
- 7Shay Whitcomb2B
- 8Grant McCrayRF
- 9Christian KossSS
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Odds, Weather
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model