St. Louis Cardinals vs Los Angeles Dodgers
Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 10:10 PM · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Main prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline
Alternative: First 5 innings winner: St. Louis Cardinals
Model confidence
69.0%
Market probability
64.0%
Observed odds
-187
Data available
89%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 8.9
- Reference line
- 9.0
- Line source
- Market
- First 5 projection
- 4.7
- First 5 line
- 5.0
- Weather
- Pending
- Temperature
- Pending
- Wind
- Pending
- Reference sportsbook
- DraftKings
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to St. Louis Cardinals.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to St. Louis Cardinals.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Starting-pitcher edge
St. Louis Cardinals has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (3.86).
Offensive production
Los Angeles Dodgers enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
Los Angeles Dodgers has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Expected lineup
The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Availability
Received injury reports
St. Louis Cardinals
- • Andre Pallante: Injured 15-Day
- • Blaze Jordan: Injured 10-Day
- • Everson Pereira: Injured 10-Day
- • Hunter Dobbins: Injured 15-Day
- • JJ Wetherholt: Injured 10-Day
Los Angeles Dodgers
- • Andy Pages: Injured 10-Day
- • Ben Casparius: Injured 60-Day
- • Blake Treinen: Injured 60-Day
- • Bobby Miller: Injured 60-Day
- • Brusdar Graterol: Injured 60-Day
MLB lineups
Batting orders pending
This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.
St. Louis Cardinals
- 1Joshua BáezPH
- 2Iván HerreraC
- 3Alec Burleson1B
- 4Jordan WalkerRF
- 5Nolan GormanDH
- 6José Fermín2B
- 7Nathan ChurchCF
- 8Ramón Urías3B
- 9Thomas SaggeseSS
Los Angeles Dodgers
- 1Shohei OhtaniDH
- 2Tommy Edman2B
- 3Mookie BettsSS
- 4Freddie Freeman1B
- 5Teoscar HernándezLF
- 6Max Muncy3B
- 7Kyle TuckerRF
- 8Enrique HernándezCF
- 9Ben RortvedtC
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Odds, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Weather
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Cuotas: DraftKings · Athletiq prediction model