New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Angels
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 9:38 PM · Angel Stadium
Main prediction
New York Yankees Moneyline
Alternative: First 5 innings winner: Los Angeles Angels
Model confidence
69.0%
Market probability
Unavailable
Observed odds
Unavailable
Data available
78%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 8.0
- Reference line
- 8.5
- Line source
- Athletiq estimate
- First 5 projection
- 4.2
- First 5 line
- 4.5
- Weather
- Pending
- Temperature
- Pending
- Wind
- Pending
- Reference sportsbook
- Unavailable
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to New York Yankees.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to New York Yankees.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Angels.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Angels.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to New York Yankees.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to New York Yankees.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to New York Yankees.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Starting-pitcher edge
Los Angeles Angels has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (2.94).
Offensive production
New York Yankees enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
New York Yankees has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Expected lineup
The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Availability
Received injury reports
New York Yankees
- • Aaron Judge: Injured 60-Day
- • Clarke Schmidt: Injured 60-Day
- • Fernando Cruz: Injured 15-Day
- • Giancarlo Stanton: Injured 60-Day
- • Kervin Castro: Injured 60-Day
Los Angeles Angels
- • Anthony Rendon: Injured 60-Day
- • George Klassen: Injured 15-Day
- • Gustavo Campero: Injured 10-Day
- • Jack Kochanowicz: Injured 60-Day
- • Nolan Schanuel: Injured 10-Day
MLB lineups
Batting orders pending
This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.
New York Yankees
- 1Paul Goldschmidt1B
- 2Cody BellingerLF
- 3Spencer JonesRF
- 4Luis García Jr.DH
- 5Amed Rosario3B
- 6Trent GrishamCF
- 7José CaballeroSS
- 8Jazz Chisholm Jr.2B
- 9Austin WellsC
Los Angeles Angels
- 1Wade MecklerLF
- 2Mike TroutDH
- 3Vaughn Grissom1B
- 4Moisés BallesterosC
- 5Christian Moore2B
- 6Josh LoweRF
- 7Jose SiriCF
- 8Oswald PerazaSS
- 9Denzer Guzman3B
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Odds, Weather
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model