Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Angels
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 10:07 PM · Angel Stadium
Main prediction
Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline
Alternative: First 5 innings winner: Philadelphia Phillies
Model confidence
69.0%
Market probability
Unavailable
Observed odds
Unavailable
Data available
78%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 8.1
- Reference line
- 8.5
- Line source
- Athletiq estimate
- First 5 projection
- 4.3
- First 5 line
- 4.5
- Weather
- Pending
- Temperature
- Pending
- Wind
- Pending
- Reference sportsbook
- Unavailable
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Philadelphia Phillies.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Philadelphia Phillies.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Philadelphia Phillies.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to Philadelphia Phillies.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Philadelphia Phillies.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Philadelphia Phillies.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Philadelphia Phillies.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Starting-pitcher edge
Philadelphia Phillies has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (2.62).
Offensive production
Philadelphia Phillies enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
Philadelphia Phillies has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Expected lineup
The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Availability
Received injury reports
Philadelphia Phillies
- • Adolis García: Injured 60-Day
- • Brad Keller: Injured 60-Day
- • Caleb Kilian: Injured 15-Day
- • Felix Reyes: Injured 60-Day
- • Johan Rojas: Injured 60-Day
Los Angeles Angels
- • Anthony Rendon: Injured 60-Day
- • Gustavo Campero: Injured 10-Day
- • Jack Kochanowicz: Injured 60-Day
- • Nolan Schanuel: Injured 10-Day
- • Robert Stephenson: Injured 60-Day
MLB lineups
Batting orders pending
This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.
Philadelphia Phillies
- 1Kyle SchwarberDH
- 2Trea TurnerSS
- 3Bryce HarperRF
- 4Luis Arraez2B
- 5Alec Bohm1B
- 6Justin CrawfordCF
- 7Bryson Stott3B
- 8J.T. RealmutoC
- 9Edmundo SosaLF
Los Angeles Angels
- 1Zach NetoSS
- 2Mike TroutCF
- 3Wade MecklerRF
- 4Vaughn Grissom1B
- 5Moisés BallesterosDH
- 6Christian Moore2B
- 7Jose SiriLF
- 8Adam FrazierPH
- 9Tyler HeinemanC
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Odds, Weather
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model