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ANALYSIS V3ScheduledData 78% complete

Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Angels

Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 4:07 PM · Angel Stadium

Main prediction

Cleveland Guardians Moneyline

Alternative: First 5 innings winner: Cleveland Guardians

Model confidence

69.0%

Market probability

Unavailable

Observed odds

Unavailable

Data available

78%

Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.

Context

Projected total
7.6
Reference line
8.5
Line source
Athletiq estimate
First 5 projection
4.0
First 5 line
4.5
Weather
Pending
Temperature
Pending
Wind
Pending
Reference sportsbook
Unavailable

Verifiable comparison

The numbers behind the analysis

You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.

MetricCleveland GuardiansLos Angeles Angels
Season recordMLB Stats API67-6652-81

Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Cleveland Guardians.

Last 10 gamesMLB Stats API8-24-6

Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Cleveland Guardians.

Starter ERAMLB Stats API3.736.41

Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Cleveland Guardians.

Starter WHIPMLB Stats API1.451.53

Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to Cleveland Guardians.

Offensive OPSMLB Stats API0.6850.686

Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Angels.

OPS vs starter handednessMLB Stats API · statSplits0.6860.662

Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Cleveland Guardians.

Bullpen ERAMLB Stats API · relevistas3.694.46

Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Cleveland Guardians.

Supporting

Factors supporting the pick

Starting-pitcher edge

Cleveland Guardians has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (3.73).

Offensive production

Los Angeles Angels enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.

Recent form

Cleveland Guardians has more wins over its last ten games.

Risks

Risks before the game

Expected lineup

The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.

Player availability

8 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.

Availability

Received injury reports

Cleveland Guardians

  • Rhys Hoskins: Injured 10-Day
  • Shawn Armstrong: Injured 60-Day
  • Slade Cecconi: Injured 15-Day

Los Angeles Angels

  • Anthony Rendon: Injured 60-Day
  • Jack Kochanowicz: Injured 60-Day
  • Nolan Schanuel: Injured 10-Day
  • Robert Stephenson: Injured 60-Day
  • Sam Bachman: Injured 15-Day

MLB lineups

Batting orders pending

This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.

Cleveland Guardians

  1. 1Steven KwanCF
  2. 2Travis Bazzana2B
  3. 3José Ramírez3B
  4. 4Jo AdellRF
  5. 5Nathaniel Lowe1B
  6. 6Angel MartínezLF
  7. 7Patrick BaileyC
  8. 8Cade SmithP
  9. 9Brayan RocchioSS

Los Angeles Angels

  1. 1Zach NetoSS
  2. 2Mike TroutCF
  3. 3Moisés BallesterosC
  4. 4Vaughn Grissom1B
  5. 5Josh LoweRF
  6. 6Christian Moore2B
  7. 7Jose SiriLF
  8. 8Denzer Guzman3B
  9. 9Adam FrazierDH

Transparency

Data quality and provenance

Available

Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups

Missing

Odds, Weather

Sources

MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model