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ANALYSIS V3WarmupData 89% complete

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers

Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 1:10 PM · Comerica Park

Main prediction

Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline

Alternative: First 5 innings winner: Los Angeles Dodgers

Model confidence

69.0%

Market probability

Unavailable

Observed odds

Unavailable

Data available

89%

Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.

Context

Projected total
7.4
Reference line
8.5
Line source
Athletiq estimate
First 5 projection
3.9
First 5 line
4.5
Weather
Partly Cloudy
Temperature
75°F
Wind
13 mph, R To L
Reference sportsbook
Unavailable

Verifiable comparison

The numbers behind the analysis

You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.

MetricLos Angeles DodgersDetroit Tigers
Season recordMLB Stats API81-5462-72

Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.

Last 10 gamesMLB Stats API7-32-8

Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.

Starter ERAMLB Stats API2.573.30

Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.

Starter WHIPMLB Stats API1.051.00

Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to Detroit Tigers.

Offensive OPSMLB Stats API0.7590.715

Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.

OPS vs starter handednessMLB Stats API · statSplits0.7590.690

Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.

Bullpen ERAMLB Stats API · relevistas4.063.96

Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Detroit Tigers.

Supporting

Factors supporting the pick

Starting-pitcher edge

Los Angeles Dodgers has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (2.57).

Offensive production

Los Angeles Dodgers enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.

Recent form

Los Angeles Dodgers has more wins over its last ten games.

Risks

Risks before the game

Player availability

10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.

Ballpark conditions

Partly Cloudy, wind 13 mph, R To L.

Availability

Received injury reports

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Andy Pages: Injured 10-Day
  • Ben Casparius: Injured 60-Day
  • Blake Treinen: Injured 60-Day
  • Bobby Miller: Injured 60-Day
  • Brusdar Graterol: Injured 60-Day

Detroit Tigers

  • Bailey Horn: Injured 60-Day
  • Brant Hurter: Injured 60-Day
  • Burch Smith: Injured 60-Day
  • Jack Flaherty: Injured 15-Day
  • Justin Verlander: Injured 60-Day

MLB lineups

Confirmed batting orders

Published directly by MLB Gameday.

Los Angeles Dodgers

  1. 1Shohei OhtaniDH
  2. 2Freddie Freeman1B
  3. 3Mookie BettsSS
  4. 4Max Muncy3B
  5. 5Tommy Edman2B
  6. 6Kyle TuckerRF
  7. 7Teoscar HernándezLF
  8. 8Hunter FeducciaC
  9. 9Alek ThomasCF

Detroit Tigers

  1. 1Gleyber Torres2B
  2. 2Hao-Yu Lee3B
  3. 3Kevin McGonigleSS
  4. 4Dillon DinglerDH
  5. 5Eduardo ValenciaC
  6. 6Spencer Torkelson1B
  7. 7Ben MalgeriRF
  8. 8Javier BáezLF
  9. 9Max ClarkCF

Transparency

Data quality and provenance

Available

Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Weather, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups

Missing

Odds

Sources

MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model