Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 1:40 PM · Comerica Park
Main prediction
Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline
Alternative: First 5 innings winner: Los Angeles Dodgers
Model confidence
69.0%
Market probability
Unavailable
Observed odds
Unavailable
Data available
89%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 7.1
- Reference line
- 8.5
- Line source
- Athletiq estimate
- First 5 projection
- 3.8
- First 5 line
- 4.5
- Weather
- Cloudy
- Temperature
- 73°F
- Wind
- 8 mph, R To L
- Reference sportsbook
- Unavailable
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Los Angeles Dodgers.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Detroit Tigers.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Detroit Tigers.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Starting-pitcher edge
Los Angeles Dodgers has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (3.02).
Offensive production
Los Angeles Dodgers enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
Los Angeles Dodgers has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Ballpark conditions
Cloudy, wind 8 mph, R To L.
Availability
Received injury reports
Los Angeles Dodgers
- • Andy Pages: Injured 10-Day
- • Ben Casparius: Injured 60-Day
- • Blake Treinen: Injured 60-Day
- • Bobby Miller: Injured 60-Day
- • Brusdar Graterol: Injured 60-Day
Detroit Tigers
- • Bailey Horn: Injured 60-Day
- • Brant Hurter: Injured 60-Day
- • Burch Smith: Injured 60-Day
- • Jack Flaherty: Injured 15-Day
- • Justin Verlander: Injured 60-Day
MLB lineups
Confirmed batting orders
Published directly by MLB Gameday.
Los Angeles Dodgers
- 1Shohei OhtaniDH
- 2Tommy Edman2B
- 3Mookie BettsSS
- 4Freddie Freeman1B
- 5Teoscar HernándezLF
- 6Miguel Rojas3B
- 7Kyle TuckerRF
- 8Enrique HernándezCF
- 9Ben RortvedtC
Detroit Tigers
- 1Gleyber Torres2B
- 2Colt Keith1B
- 3Kevin McGonigle3B
- 4Dillon DinglerC
- 5Brett CallahanLF
- 6Zach McKinstryRF
- 7Hao-Yu LeeDH
- 8Max ClarkCF
- 9Javier BáezSS
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Weather, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Odds
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model