Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies
Tuesday, September 1, 2026 at 8:40 PM · Coors Field
Main prediction
Baltimore Orioles Moneyline
Alternative: Under 5.5 ponches de Kyle Bradish
Model confidence
69.0%
Market probability
56.7%
Observed odds
-136
Data available
89%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 10.5
- Reference line
- 11.0
- Line source
- Market
- First 5 projection
- 5.6
- First 5 line
- 6.0
- Weather
- Pending
- Temperature
- Pending
- Wind
- Pending
- Reference sportsbook
- DraftKings
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Colorado Rockies.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Colorado Rockies.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Starting-pitcher edge
Baltimore Orioles has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (4.03).
Offensive production
Colorado Rockies enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
Baltimore Orioles has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Expected lineup
The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Availability
Received injury reports
Baltimore Orioles
- • Colin Selby: Injured 60-Day
- • Félix Bautista: Injured 60-Day
- • Jordan Westburg: Injured 60-Day
- • Keegan Akin: Injured 60-Day
- • Ryan Helsley: Injured 60-Day
Colorado Rockies
- • Chase Dollander: Injured 60-Day
- • Jose Quintana: Injured 60-Day
- • Kris Bryant: Injured 60-Day
- • Kyle Freeland: Injured 15-Day
- • Kyle Karros: Injured 7-Day
MLB lineups
Batting orders pending
This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.
Baltimore Orioles
- 1Jackson Holliday2B
- 2Pete Alonso1B
- 3Gunnar HendersonSS
- 4Coby MayoDH
- 5Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
- 6Samuel BasalloC
- 7Blaze AlexanderLF
- 8Colton CowserCF
- 9Leody TaverasRF
Colorado Rockies
- 1Jake McCarthyCF
- 2Connor Norby2B
- 3Hunter GoodmanC
- 4TJ Rumfield1B
- 5Willi Castro3B
- 6Mickey MoniakRF
- 7Cole CarriggPH
- 8Ryan RitterPR
- 9Zac VeenPH
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Odds, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Weather
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Cuotas: DraftKings · Athletiq prediction model