Baltimore Orioles vs Colorado Rockies
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 8:40 PM · Coors Field
Main prediction
Baltimore Orioles Moneyline
Alternative: First 5 innings winner: Baltimore Orioles
Model confidence
69.0%
Market probability
Unavailable
Observed odds
Unavailable
Data available
56%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 10.1
- Reference line
- 9.5
- Line source
- Athletiq estimate
- First 5 projection
- 5.3
- First 5 line
- 5.0
- Weather
- Pending
- Temperature
- Pending
- Wind
- Pending
- Reference sportsbook
- Unavailable
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. There is not enough data to compare.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. There is not enough data to compare.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Colorado Rockies.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Colorado Rockies.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Offensive production
Colorado Rockies enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
Baltimore Orioles has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Unconfirmed starter
A change in the probable starter can affect the pick and projected total.
Expected lineup
The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Availability
Received injury reports
Baltimore Orioles
- • Colin Selby: Injured 60-Day
- • Félix Bautista: Injured 60-Day
- • Jordan Westburg: Injured 60-Day
- • Keegan Akin: Injured 60-Day
- • Ryan Helsley: Injured 60-Day
Colorado Rockies
- • Chase Dollander: Injured 60-Day
- • Jose Quintana: Injured 60-Day
- • Kris Bryant: Injured 60-Day
- • Kyle Freeland: Injured 15-Day
- • Kyle Karros: Injured 7-Day
MLB lineups
Batting orders pending
This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.
Baltimore Orioles
- 1Blaze Alexander2B
- 2Jackson HollidayDH
- 3Gunnar HendersonSS
- 4Coby Mayo1B
- 5Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
- 6Leody TaverasRF
- 7Dylan BeaversLF
- 8Carlos NarváezC
- 9Colton CowserCF
Colorado Rockies
- 1Jake McCarthyCF
- 2Connor Norby2B
- 3Hunter GoodmanDH
- 4TJ Rumfield1B
- 5Willi Castro3B
- 6Mickey MoniakRF
- 7Cole CarriggSS
- 8Brett SullivanC
- 9Zac VeenLF
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Recent form, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Starters, Starter statistics, Odds, Weather
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model