Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox
Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 7:40 PM · Rate Field
Main prediction
Chicago White Sox Moneyline
Alternative: First 5 innings winner: Chicago White Sox
Model confidence
69.0%
Market probability
Unavailable
Observed odds
Unavailable
Data available
78%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 8.2
- Reference line
- 8.5
- Line source
- Athletiq estimate
- First 5 projection
- 4.4
- First 5 line
- 4.5
- Weather
- Pending
- Temperature
- Pending
- Wind
- Pending
- Reference sportsbook
- Unavailable
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Chicago White Sox.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Texas Rangers.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Chicago White Sox.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to Chicago White Sox.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Chicago White Sox.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Chicago White Sox.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Chicago White Sox.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Starting-pitcher edge
Chicago White Sox has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (3.27).
Offensive production
Chicago White Sox enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
Texas Rangers has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Expected lineup
The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Availability
Received injury reports
Texas Rangers
- • Carter Baumler: Injured 60-Day
- • Jack Leiter: Injured 60-Day
- • Jalen Beeks: Injured 60-Day
- • Jose Corniell: Injured 60-Day
- • Josh Jung: Injured 10-Day
Chicago White Sox
- • Brooks Baldwin: Injured 60-Day
- • Chris Murphy: Injured 15-Day
- • Davis Martin: Injured 15-Day
- • Drew Thorpe: Injured 60-Day
- • Huascar Brazobán: Injured 15-Day
MLB lineups
Batting orders pending
This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.
Texas Rangers
- 1Justin Foscue2B
- 2Corey SeagerSS
- 3Wyatt LangfordLF
- 4Brandon NimmoRF
- 5Ezequiel DuranCF
- 6Jake Burger1B
- 7Elias DíazPH
- 8Cody Freeman3B
- 9Danny JansenC
Chicago White Sox
- 1Sam AntonacciDH
- 2Munetaka Murakami1B
- 3Miguel Vargas3B
- 4Braden MontgomeryRF
- 5Colson MontgomerySS
- 6Chase Meidroth2B
- 7Tristan PetersLF
- 8Brenton DoyleCF
- 9Drew RomoC
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Odds, Weather
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model