Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves
Sunday, August 30, 2026 at 1:35 PM · Truist Park
Main prediction
Atlanta Braves Moneyline
Alternative: Atlanta Braves -1.5
Model confidence
69.0%
Market probability
Unavailable
Observed odds
Unavailable
Data available
89%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 8.2
- Reference line
- 9.0
- Line source
- Athletiq estimate
- First 5 projection
- 4.3
- First 5 line
- 5.0
- Weather
- Partly Cloudy
- Temperature
- 84°F
- Wind
- 6 mph, L To R
- Reference sportsbook
- Unavailable
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Atlanta Braves.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Atlanta Braves.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Colorado Rockies.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to Atlanta Braves.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Colorado Rockies.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Colorado Rockies.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Atlanta Braves.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Starting-pitcher edge
Colorado Rockies has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (2.25).
Offensive production
Colorado Rockies enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
Atlanta Braves has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Possible bullpen game
Inning distribution is less predictable than in a matchup with established starters.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Ballpark conditions
Partly Cloudy, wind 6 mph, L To R.
Availability
Received injury reports
Colorado Rockies
- • Chase Dollander: Injured 60-Day
- • Jose Quintana: Injured 60-Day
- • Kris Bryant: Injured 60-Day
- • Kyle Freeland: Injured 15-Day
- • Kyle Karros: Injured 7-Day
Atlanta Braves
- • Joe Jiménez: Injured 60-Day
- • Joey Wentz: Injured 60-Day
- • Reynaldo López: Injured 15-Day
- • Robert Suarez: Injured 15-Day
- • Spencer Schwellenbach: Injured 60-Day
MLB lineups
Confirmed batting orders
Published directly by MLB Gameday.
Colorado Rockies
- 1Jake McCarthyCF
- 2Connor Norby2B
- 3Hunter GoodmanDH
- 4TJ Rumfield1B
- 5Willi Castro3B
- 6Mickey MoniakLF
- 7Troy JohnstonRF
- 8Brett SullivanC
- 9Ryan RitterSS
Atlanta Braves
- 1Drake BaldwinDH
- 2Ronald Acuña Jr.RF
- 3Matt Olson1B
- 4Michael Harris IICF
- 5Mauricio DubónLF
- 6Ozzie Albies2B
- 7Sean MurphyC
- 8Austin Riley3B
- 9Ha-Seong KimSS
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Weather, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Odds
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model