San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves
Monday, August 31, 2026 at 6:05 PM · Truist Park
Main prediction
Atlanta Braves Moneyline
Alternative: First 5 innings winner: Atlanta Braves
Model confidence
77.0%
Market probability
Unavailable
Observed odds
Unavailable
Data available
78%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 7.8
- Reference line
- 8.5
- Line source
- Athletiq estimate
- First 5 projection
- 4.1
- First 5 line
- 4.5
- Weather
- Pending
- Temperature
- Pending
- Wind
- Pending
- Reference sportsbook
- Unavailable
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Atlanta Braves.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Atlanta Braves.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to San Francisco Giants.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to San Francisco Giants.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Atlanta Braves.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to San Francisco Giants.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Atlanta Braves.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Starting-pitcher edge
San Francisco Giants has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (2.89).
Offensive production
Atlanta Braves enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
Atlanta Braves has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Possible bullpen game
Inning distribution is less predictable than in a matchup with established starters.
Expected lineup
The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Availability
Received injury reports
San Francisco Giants
- • Adrian Houser: Injured 15-Day
- • Carson Whisenhunt: Injured 60-Day
- • Casey Schmitt: Injured 60-Day
- • Daniel Susac: Injured 60-Day
- • Harrison Bader: Injured 60-Day
Atlanta Braves
- • Joe Jiménez: Injured 60-Day
- • Joey Wentz: Injured 60-Day
- • Reynaldo López: Injured 15-Day
- • Robert Suarez: Injured 15-Day
- • Spencer Schwellenbach: Injured 60-Day
MLB lineups
Batting orders pending
This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.
San Francisco Giants
- 1Drew GilbertCF
- 2Rafael DeversDH
- 3Bryce Eldridge1B
- 4Jung Hoo LeeRF
- 5Shay Whitcomb3B
- 6Drew CavanaughC
- 7Grant McCrayLF
- 8Osleivis Basabe2B
- 9Christian KossSS
Atlanta Braves
- 1Brewer HicklenPR
- 2Ronald Acuña Jr.RF
- 3Matt Olson1B
- 4Michael Harris IICF
- 5Mauricio DubónSS
- 6Ozzie Albies2B
- 7Sean MurphyC
- 8Austin Riley3B
- 9Mike YastrzemskiLF
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Odds, Weather
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model