Baltimore Orioles vs Athletics
Saturday, August 29, 2026 at 10:05 PM · Sutter Health Park
Main prediction
Baltimore Orioles Moneyline
Alternative: First 5 innings winner: Baltimore Orioles
Model confidence
69.0%
Market probability
Unavailable
Observed odds
Unavailable
Data available
78%
Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.
Context
- Projected total
- 9.4
- Reference line
- 8.5
- Line source
- Athletiq estimate
- First 5 projection
- 5.0
- First 5 line
- 4.5
- Weather
- Pending
- Temperature
- Pending
- Wind
- Pending
- Reference sportsbook
- Unavailable
Verifiable comparison
The numbers behind the analysis
You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.
Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Athletics.
Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Athletics.
Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Baltimore Orioles.
Supporting
Factors supporting the pick
Starting-pitcher edge
Baltimore Orioles has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (4.04).
Offensive production
Athletics enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.
Recent form
Baltimore Orioles has more wins over its last ten games.
Risks
Risks before the game
Expected lineup
The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.
Player availability
10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.
Availability
Received injury reports
Baltimore Orioles
- • Colin Selby: Injured 60-Day
- • Félix Bautista: Injured 60-Day
- • Jordan Westburg: Injured 60-Day
- • Keegan Akin: Injured 60-Day
- • Ryan Helsley: Injured 60-Day
Athletics
- • Brent Rooker: Injured 60-Day
- • Brooks Kriske: Injured 60-Day
- • Denzel Clarke: Injured 60-Day
- • Gunnar Hoglund: Injured 60-Day
- • Jacob Wilson: Injured 60-Day
MLB lineups
Batting orders pending
This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.
Baltimore Orioles
- 1Blaze AlexanderSS
- 2Gunnar HendersonDH
- 3Jackson Holliday2B
- 4Coby Mayo1B
- 5Christian Encarnacion-Strand3B
- 6Leody TaverasRF
- 7Colton CowserCF
- 8Dylan BeaversLF
- 9Carlos NarváezC
Athletics
- 1Henry BolteCF
- 2Jeff McNeil1B
- 3Zack GelofLF
- 4Lawrence ButlerRF
- 5Donovan Walton2B
- 6Max MuncyDH
- 7Michael Stefanic3B
- 8Jonah HeimC
- 9Alika WilliamsSS
Transparency
Data quality and provenance
Available
Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups
Missing
Odds, Weather
Sources
MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model