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ANALYSIS V3ScheduledData 78% complete

Minnesota Twins vs Athletics

Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 9:05 PM · Sutter Health Park

Main prediction

Minnesota Twins Moneyline

Alternative: First 5 innings winner: Athletics

Model confidence

64.0%

Market probability

Unavailable

Observed odds

Unavailable

Data available

78%

Confidence summarizes the strength of the available signals; it is not a guaranteed probability and is not used to calculate an edge against the market. Market probability appears only when enough odds are available.

Context

Projected total
9.2
Reference line
8.5
Line source
Athletiq estimate
First 5 projection
4.9
First 5 line
4.5
Weather
Pending
Temperature
Pending
Wind
Pending
Reference sportsbook
Unavailable

Verifiable comparison

The numbers behind the analysis

You do not need to know sabermetrics: each indicator explains what it measures and whether higher or lower is generally better. Color highlights the stronger figure in that comparison; it does not guarantee the result.

MetricMinnesota TwinsAthletics
Season recordMLB Stats API64-6952-81

Wins and losses accumulated this season. The numerical advantage here belongs to Minnesota Twins.

Last 10 gamesMLB Stats API4-64-6

Recent record: wins and losses over the last ten games. Both teams are even in this comparison.

Starter ERAMLB Stats API5.573.60

Earned runs allowed per nine innings. Lower is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Athletics.

Starter WHIPMLB Stats API1.401.23

Baserunners allowed per inning. Lower generally indicates better control. The numerical advantage here belongs to Athletics.

Offensive OPSMLB Stats API0.7240.719

Combines on-base ability and power. Higher is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Minnesota Twins.

OPS vs starter handednessMLB Stats API · statSplits0.7400.728

Measures each offense against pitchers matching today's starter handedness. The numerical advantage here belongs to Minnesota Twins.

Bullpen ERAMLB Stats API · relevistas4.625.59

Relief-pitcher performance only; a lower figure is generally better. The numerical advantage here belongs to Minnesota Twins.

Supporting

Factors supporting the pick

Starting-pitcher edge

Athletics has the lower ERA in the projected matchup (3.60).

Offensive production

Minnesota Twins enters with the higher season OPS of the two teams.

Risks

Risks before the game

Expected lineup

The model uses the most recent official order, excluding players currently on the IL. It will recalculate when MLB posts today's lineup.

Player availability

10 injury reports should be monitored before first pitch.

Availability

Received injury reports

Minnesota Twins

  • Anthony Banda: Injured 60-Day
  • Austin Martin: Injured 10-Day
  • Cole Sands: Injured 60-Day
  • David Festa: Injured 60-Day
  • Joe Ryan: Injured 15-Day

Athletics

  • Brent Rooker: Injured 60-Day
  • Brooks Kriske: Injured 60-Day
  • Denzel Clarke: Injured 60-Day
  • Gunnar Hoglund: Injured 60-Day
  • Jacob Wilson: Injured 60-Day

MLB lineups

Batting orders pending

This section will update automatically when MLB publishes both lineups.

Minnesota Twins

  1. 1Luke KeaschallCF
  2. 2Trevor LarnachLF
  3. 3Ryan JeffersDH
  4. 4Royce Lewis1B
  5. 5Kody ClemensRF
  6. 6Kaelen CulpepperSS
  7. 7Brooks Lee3B
  8. 8Victor CaratiniC
  9. 9Ryan Kreidler2B

Athletics

  1. 1Henry BolteCF
  2. 2Jeff McNeilDH
  3. 3Zack Gelof3B
  4. 4Lawrence ButlerRF
  5. 5Tommy White1B
  6. 6Donovan Walton2B
  7. 7Alika WilliamsSS
  8. 8Carlos CortesLF
  9. 9Brian ServenC

Transparency

Data quality and provenance

Available

Starters, Starter statistics, Recent form, Injuries, Handedness splits, Bullpens, Lineups

Missing

Odds, Weather

Sources

MLB Stats API · MLB Gameday · MLB roster oficial · Athletiq odds cache · Athletiq prediction model